Minnesota?


In the last days before an election, a well-run campaign will put its resources into holding on to votes where it has a weak lead and/or securing additional votes where it can best be competitive.

Joe Biden is campaigning in Minnesota tomorrow.

Is Minnesota in play? Really? The RCP Tracking shows Biden with 4.7 % lead in that state.

Hmmmm.

Who Won?


When I first checked this poll, Biden was ahead with about 56 %. I checked it again about an hour after the debate ended and found this.

BTW, abc7 dot com is the website for KABC-TV in Los Angeles. That suggests these poll numbers are mostly driven by California voters.

UPDATE— As I was about to hit the PUBLISH button, I checked the poll again. Trump was up to 56 %, and the percentage of vote switchers was up to 6 %.

Hmmmmm.

A Bribe Too Far


It appears that the Hunter Biden’s hard drive is the real McCoy. Neither Joe nor Hunter Biden deny it. It’s clear from the emails and other files on the drive that Hunter Biden was the family bag man and that Ukrainians were paying him for access to his father while Joe Biden was Vice President. It also appears that individuals—and possibly governments—from other countries were paying for similar access.

The Democrats impeached Donald Trump for asking the President of the Ukraine to pursue an investigation related to the bribery verified by the evidence on Hunter’s hard drive.

Let that sink in for a moment.

The Bidens acted as they did believing that they had an airtight level of protection. As the bribes rolled in, it seems they became increasingly arrogant. Hunter Biden’s arrogance compounded with his addictions and other character defects led him to be careless. He never should have let someone who wasn’t fully vetted to have access to any of his electronic devices, but he did.

I don’t know who paid the bribe that convinced Hunter Biden that he and his scams were immune from detection, but whoever he was, we’re indebted to him for inadvertently lighting the fuze on Biden’s self-destruction.

Bad Advice from Joe Biden


Joe Biden seems to be having trouble with his memory. He is not only forgetting what did, he appears to be having false memories as well. However, he does seem to remember what he heard listening to The Lone Ranger as a kid. The Lone Ranger never shot to kill. Indeed, he tried disarm his opponents as painlessly as possible, often shooting their guns out of their hands. Things may have worked that way on old time radio, but in the Real World, the basic accuracy of the Lone Ranger’s Colt Single Action Army Revolvers and  round-to-round variability of even match quality ammunition makes repeatably hitting something the size of another handgun at range beyond a few feet statistically unlikely. One lucky shot, maybe. Two in a row, nope.

Joe Biden says that cops should try to shoot people in the leg. He’s wrong.

Most defensive handgun shootings (whether by civilian police or other citizens) occur at ranges less than 25 feet. 21 feet is the distance often used for part of many handgun qualification course. Most people are doing well to keep all of their hits within a 6 inch group at that distance when shooting on a target range. Under the stress of a gunfight, most people don’t do as well.

Any gunshot at someone is a use of deadly force. It may be justified against an attacker; it’s never justified against an innocent bystander. While a trained sniper with the proper equipment may be justified in taking a shot a a small target, most of us need to aim for something large. That’s why the proper place for a cop to aim is for the center of mass, the torso. He’s less likely to miss and risk injury to a bystander. Aiming for someone’s leg risks missing with the certainty that the bullet will hit someone or something unintended. Of course, if a luck shot should land in the leg, the risk of hitting the femoral artery is substantial, and such a wound can cause someone to bleed to death very quickly.

Joe Biden and a Baptist Church


The Washington Free Beacon reports that Joe Biden claimed, “I got raised in the black church,” while speaking to a meeting of Jesse Jackson’s Rainbow PUSH coalition. The church, Union Baptist Church, was an African-American church in Wilmington. Biden said he was involved with the church when he was involved in organizing anti-segregation protests in the early 1960s. Long-term members of the congregation have expressed their doubts about Biden’s claims.

Of course, Biden’s memory is notoriously creative, and when reporters questioned Biden’s claim in 1987 that he marched in the civil rights movement, he acknowledged that he “wasn’t an activist.” He admitted his most significant experience with civil rights as a youth was when he worked at a majority-black swimming pool as a college sophomore in 1962.

Navin Johnson was unavailable for comment.

Anecdotal Data


During a drive through western Maryland yesterday, I saw 14 houses with Biden yard signs or banners.

I saw 27 houses with Trump signs or banners or flags.

I saw an additional 18 houses with Trump paraphernalia and American flags. There were dozens of other houses also displaying American flags, but not a single one had any Biden signage.

UPDATE—During a drive through suburban/urban Maryland this morning I saw 23 houses with Biden yard signs or banners, and three of them also displayed American flags. I saw 11 houses with Trump signs or flags, and four of them displayed American flags.

Taking the two trips together, that’s 37 houses displaying support for Biden and 56 for Trump—in Maryland, a state that Hillary carried with a 26 % margin in 2016. I find the 3:29 ratio of American flags between Biden and Trump supporters interesting as well.

Team Kimberlin Post of the Day


Here’s the TKPOTD from two years ago today. As we’ll see, it appears to have a connection to yesterday’s TKPOTD.

* * * * *

This post is up at Brett Kimberlin’s protectourelections dot org—Protect our elections?

Ummm … that’s about elections in Ukraine.

The Dread Deadbeat Protestor Kimberlin has renamed the 501(c)(4) not-for-profit VelvetRevolutionUS as “Protect Our Elections/EMPR, Inc.,” and empr dot media is a PR website promoting Ukraine’s interests. Perhaps this tells us exactly whose elections Brett Kimberlin views as “ours.”

Hmmmmmmm.

* * * * *

Petro Poroshenko was the President of Ukraine who Joe Biden threatened with withholding U. S. aid unless the prosecutor investigating Burisma (a company with Hunter Biden on its board of directors) was fired. Poroshenko claimed that he was never pressured by Biden. Biden has bragged on video that his threat was effective. Biden’s and Poroshenko’s names reappear together in the news from time to time, and empr dot media’s news coverage appears to have a pro-Poroshenko/Biden slant.

The question remains—which nation’s elections does Brett Kimberlin view as “ours.”

When He’s Out of the Basement


Where has Joe Biden been going to campaign when he does leave his basement?

Well, he was campaigning in Las Vegas when he removed his mask to cough Friday.

Hillary carried Nevada in 2016. Obama carried the state twice. If Biden’s cruising to a blowout victory, why is he campaigning in a state that Hillary won? Perhaps this sentence from a local Las Vegas TV station‘s coverage of the first of Biden’s two events yesterday points us toward the answer to that question—

He spoke to a small crowd around 11:30 a.m. at the East Las Vegas Community Center.

When Donald Trump held a rally in Nevada in September, the Nevada Independent reported that the local fire department estimated about 5,600 people were in the venue and security estimated as many as 20,000 were outside.

It’s almost as if the Democrats are afraid that Trump will win by a margin beyond the threshold of theft.

A Reasonable Hypothesis


Ali Alexander has a website up that deals with an hypothesis relating to Joe Biden’s health. He suggests that Biden may have Parkinson’s disease and presents evidence to support his hypothesis. The case isn’t airtight, but it’s a reasonable starting point for discussion of an import issue which the Biden campaign has tried to avoid.

Watch the video and discuss it among yourselves and with others.

Hidin’ Biden’s Sidekick


Becca Lower has a post over at Red State that asks these questions—

“Where’s Kamala Harris?” Surely she wasn’t practicing up for her sole debate against Vice President Pence in early October. Notice that the media was completely consumed with defending Biden’s AWOL act — and no one was asking about his running mate’s whereabouts. Why the lid for Harris, too?

Harris is a weak candidate who dropped out without receiving a single caucus or primary vote, before any were even cast. Given that she was so off-putting that she couldn’t gin up a following among core Democrat voters last year, it’s not surprising that the Democrats want to keep her hidden from the public.

OTOH, if the Democrats win this November, the probability of Harris becoming President sometime the next term is essentially 1.000. That being the case, the voters would be better served if Harris replaces Biden in the debates with Trump.

A Job Opening


There’s a vacancy on the Supreme Court because of the death of Ruth Bader Ginsburg. I could join in the analysis, but while I was getting a good night’s sleep, Bookworm Room put up a post that says pretty much what I think about the situation. I’ll add these few thoughts:

I believe that the President should nominate a new justice to the court quickly and that the Senate should confirm the new justice expeditiously, before the election. The court should be intact in case it is called upon to handle election recount issues similar to Bush v. Gore. Joe Biden could try to take that issue off the table by promising not to engage in the kind of vote harvesting and election theft the Democrats are obviously planning for this November, but it would be foolish for President Trump and Senator McConnell to trust such a promise. The President and the Senate should act to eliminate the possibility of a 4-4 decision by the Court.

Or maybe not. The court is now 5-3. The Chief Justice might be a reliable vote if he is concerned about the Democrats’ threats to engage in court packing.

Things are about to get interesting.

Biden Voters?


I’ve noticed a trend among some writers on the Interwebz to refer to rioters and certain other criminals as “Biden voters.” I’m not sure that this is a generally accurate classification.

First, most criminals don’t seem to have the kind of civic engagement that leads one to vote, so many of them simply aren’t voters of any sort.

Second, I believe that a significant minority of the rioters are similarly disconnect for the mainstream of society and don’t bother with voting.

Third, to the extent that many of the other rioters are voters, they are Bernie’s not Biden’s. Some of them may hold their nose and vote for Joe Biden, but they will be voting against Donald Trump rather than for Biden.

I saw the hashtag #BidenRiots on Twitter this morning. Biden Rioters may be a more accurate classification.

The Democrats v. Reality


I found this comment in a review of the second night of the Republican Convention in a post by cccc Liel Leibovitz at Tablet.

This is not to say that watching both conventions will get a sizable number of voters to stop worrying and learn to love Donald Trump. But it is to say that it’s becoming increasingly more clear that the Democrats’ real problem isn’t the party’s aging candidate or its rambunctious left flank but, rather, its relationship with reality itself.

Yep.

Themes and Memes


One of the themes of the emerging debate around the 2020 election is the idea that Joe Biden is A Diminished Trojan Horse With an Army of Marxist Transformers Inside. Mark Ellis writes

Which brings us to this election year’s other big narrative: Biden as Trojan Horse for a swarm of America-haters. A timeworn, once-was “moderate” on the precipice of collapse, being pushed onstage by forces whose aim is to change the nation forever.

On this point, it bears mentioning that even if Joe Biden was not in cognitive decline, even if he was still as sharp a tack as he ever was, he would remain a menacing electoral threat to the American way of life.

Biden’s mental state won’t matter once the DNC, the ingrate Squad, Pelosi, Schumer, Feinstein, Schiff, the detestable Maxine Waters, and the rest of the extremist Democrats get their hands on the levers of power. Even at the peak of his powers, Old Joe could not stave off what these people have in store for America. The fact, incontrovertible now, that Biden is beset by cognitive decline, only makes it easier for them if they can get this rickety warhorse over the finish line. Once wheeled back into the internals of governance, he will become a functionary figure whose presidency sets the stage for an army of Marxist transformers.

The Branco cartoon published yesterday encapsulates the argument.

OTOH, there’s a certain ineptness in the way that the Democrats are presenting their argument that suggests they haven’t thought things through. Do they really believe that they have a message that will resonate with voters? Let’s hope that their 2020 campaign is more like this——and is rejected like this—

A Basic Principle of Hiring


I can’t figure out why Biden picked Kamala is the title of a post over at Bookworm Room.

I’ve tried really hard to figure out what Kamala brings to the ticket and I’m stumped. Here are all the things that I think are problems with Kamala. What’s stunning is that these problems cut across the entire political spectrum in America. It’s hard to see how anyone could like her …

and he goes on to list some of the major problems she brings to the ticket. She has something in her background to offend every member of the Democrats’ base as well as most swing voters.

1.  She isn’t “African-American.” Her mother is from India, her father is from a Jamaican family of former slaver owners, and although she was born in California, she was raised in Canada.
2. Although her husband is a Jew and she has spoken out in favor of Israel’s right to self-defense, she favors the Iran nuclear deal which would allow Israel’s existential enemy to develop nuclear weapons.
3. Her husband is a white male.
4. As Tulsi Gabbard pointed out, Harris was the scourge of the underclass when she was a District Attorney and State Attorney General in California.
5. She was so unpopular in the primaries that she dropped out before any votes were cast.
6. She’s a hard leftist who Marxist views don’t play well with either of the moderates still remaining in the party. (And won’t attract many swing voters.)
7. Her attacks on Catholic judges haven’t been well received by the practicing Catholics left in the party. (And won’t attract many swing voters.)
8. She isn’t the sharpest knife in the drawer, and her intellectual shortcomings will be obvious in any debate with VP Pence.
9. She sounds like a scolding Karen.

So why did she get the nomination?

FWIW, I believe we’re seeing a basic principle of management at work—First-rate people hire first-rate people; second-rate people hire third-rate people.

This November, we will see if the American people are first-rate or second-rate.

Recycling Campaign Slogans


Now that Joe Biden’s handlers have picked his VP nominee, it’s clear that they aren’t planning on an effective move toward the political center. While Kamala Harris isn’t a top pick for the AOC/Bernie wing of the party, she’s no moderate. Indeed, she’s distinctly to the left of Biden, and adding her to the ticket increases the contrast between the Biden and Trump campaigns. We’re being offered (as Barry Goldwater’s losing campaign put it) A Choice Not An Echo.

Perhaps the Trump campaign should recycle the winning 1920 slogan of A Return to Normalcy.

Phone Calls With Foreigners


Audio of what appears to be a telephone call between Vice President Biden and Ukrainian President Poroshenko has been posted on YouTube.

Biden was captured on another video bragging about using a threat to cut off aid to Ukraine in order to get a prosecutor fired. In the video below, Poroshenko says that they can’t find any evidence of corruption to use against the prosecutor who was investigating a company called Burisma Holding. Hunter Biden, the Vice President’s son, was on the board of Burisma making over $80k a month.

Meanwhile, back in the US more of a memo by Susan Rice relating to the shame investigation of Michael Flynn’s phone call with the Russian ambassador has been declassified. John Hinderacker has an excellent summary over at PowerLine of the newly exposed paragraph’s significance.

Rice foresaw that despite the Obama holdovers’ best efforts, the truth about their “Russia investigation” could come to light someday. If that happened, she wanted it to be on record that President Obama had authorized her to lie, on advice from James Comey. This is not surprising, but it fills an important gap in our understanding of the corruption of the Obama administration.

We haven’t heard the end of the Obama Administration’s corruption—both foreign and domestic. That briefcase Acting-DNI Grenell carried to the Justice Department was bulging. As Ambassador Kosh once said in an episode of Babylon 5, “The avalanche has already started; it is too late for the pebbles to vote.”