It looks as if Biden has taken the lead with 397 delegates, and Bernie is not far behind with 356. Fauxcahontas is in a distant third place with 48, but that still more than the 43 that Mini Mike was able to buy. The two dropouts, Mayor Pete and Klobuchar, have 26 and 7 respectively, and the least insane of the Democrats running, Tulsi Gabbard, has 1.
A side note about Sanders and Bloomberg: There’s an old line that says and honest politician is one who stays bought, meaning one who honors the “requests” of his significant “donors.” Bernie and Mini Mike seem to be pursuing what they hope is an honest electorate—one that will stay bought. The difference between the two is that Bernie is promising to use other peoples’ money while Mini Mike is also using quite a bit of his own.
Yep, everything is proceeding more or less as I have foreseen.
Shoulda? Coulda? Woulda?Nope.
None of the Democrats running for their party’s 2020 presidential nomination are without some serious defect. Kamala Harris has thrown in the towel after never being able to overcome having her corrupt record as a prosecutor exposed by Tulsi Gabbard. Rep. Gabbard has offered the least insane platform positions, and that’s a serious defect for attracting votes from the Democrat base. Mayor Pete’s gayness is intersectionally insufficient with many minority voters. Fauxcahontas comes off as a scold who reminds too many voters of their mothers-in-law. Bernie Sanders’ campaign is based on envy and has nothing positive to offer. And Joe Biden is Joe Biden.
So who will be the next to drop out?
Ed Morrissey has a post over at Hot Air suggesting that Warren is next. He takes note of polling that shows Warren’s appeal declining. A recent Reuters/Ipsos poll shows her at 9 percent.
The nine percent result includes independents likely to vote in a Democratic primary, and that’s where Warren’s biggest trouble lies. Among those independents, Warren only scored 3% — which puts her behind Biden (12%), Buttigieg (6%), Sanders (5%), and even Michael Bloomberg (4%). Warren’s tied with Andrew Yang among Democrat-voting independents. Among only Democrats, Warren comes in third at 13%, but that’s thirteen points below Joe Biden.
Warren also scores third overall as a second choice candidate, but fourth among independents. Who comes in third? Bloomberg. Warren appears to have a major problem with independent voters, and that’s going to be a yuuuuge problem if she ends up winning the nomination.
Behind Bloomberg? The guy who wants to outlaw Big Gulps?
The latest polling shows Joe Biden has a roughly 2-to-1 lead over over Bernie, about a 3-to-1 lead over Harris, and nearly a 4-to-1 lead over Fauxcahontas. It looks like the race is Biden’s to lose.
And I bet he will.
I noted yesterday that Elizabeth Warren appears to be among the people served with document preservation demand letters by a lawyer representing the Sandman Family of Covington, Kentucky. It looks like a defamation lawsuit is in the works.
IANAL, and I’m not familiar with the Kentucky Rules of Evidence, but I can imagine that if Warren were sued and tried to testify in her own defense, the plaintiff’s counsel would try to impeach her credibility by showing the jury that she has a documented history of playing fast and loose with the Truth. For example, he might seek to introduce this—
For the past couple of days, the Interwebz have been echoing with pointage, laughery, and mockification of how Elizabeth Warren’s DNA testing undermined her claim of American Indian ancestry. When the math was done correctly, it turns out that she’s “whiter than Ivory Soap” as one meme put it.
All that laughter aside, John Hinderacker has pointed out how Warren’s continued claim of Indian ancestry in the face of contradictory evidence can benefit society. He writes at PowerLine—
Here’s the point: Warren’s defense of her claim to being Native American is good for America. Because if Warren is an Indian, then so are most of the rest of us. And most of us are also African-American or Hispanic. If everyone is an Indian, then no one is an Indian. This logic is fatal to the whole corrupt affirmative action enterprise.
Why does the edifice of racial categorization and discrimination persist in spite of its obvious irrationality and unfairness? Because many billions of dollars turn on it. And, perhaps equally important, it provides endless opportunities for virtue signaling. After all, if the Democrats didn’t have race, what would they have? That question is, no doubt, frightening to them.
So let’s all appreciate Elizabeth Warren’s contribution to the demolition of America’s corrupt affirmative action regime. It is long past time that we stopped classifying each other by race and bestowing benefits on that basis. Warren’s message is liberating: we are pretty much all Indians, or Hispanics, or African-Americans now. So let’s move on.
It’s interesting how facts keep tripping up the claims made by the alleged “Party of Science.”
Everything proceeded as I had foreseen.
UPDATE—The Cherokee Nation has issued an official statement on Senator Warren’s DNA testing. You can read it here.
Michael Barone reports that 90 percent of Native Americans do not find the Washington football team’s name to be offensive.
Elizabeth Warren was unavailable for comment.
WSJ has a post up about Senator Fauxcahontas’s proposal to raise Social Security benefits. You see, since seniors are having a rough time these days, we should raise the FICA tax to pay for increased benefit—in spite of the depressive effect that the tax increase would on the economy which would make times even tougher for everyone.
(H/T, Instapundit, who asks “What could go wrong?” Perhaps a better question, given the government’s recent meddling in the economy, would be “What could go right?”)
David Plotz writes about not liking the Washington Redskins name over at Slate, and there was a bit of a hashtag naming game over on Twitter.
Personally, I think the name is just fine, and I appreciate the way it honors the junior senator from Massachusetts.
Smitty points out that Fauxcahontas could settle the matter of her ancestry with DNA testing.
That would allow settled Science to settle the debate.
Elizabeth Warren says, “I won’t deny who I am.” She seems to assert that she is part Cherokee because of a family myth that has been shown to be false. That falsehood defines her, and her true genealogy does not.
She also asserts that her parents had to elope because of her mother’s being 1/16th Cherokee. Her parents’ marriage certificate has been posted online. They were married in a religious ceremony in their county of residence which is unusual for an eloping couple.
UPDATE–Perhaps someone should explain the Harvard motto to this Harvard Law professor. It’s Veritas. That’s Latin for Truth.
UPDATE 2–William A. Jacobson suggests that Elizabeth Warren needs an intervention.