This Seems Pretty One-Sided


At the election draws near and folks become more … um … excited, tempers appear to be fraying and violence erupting. For example, The Washington Free Beacon reports that two candidates in Minnesota have been assaulted. State representative Sarah Anderson was punched in the arm after spotting a man destroying yard signs. She said the attack left her scared, and her attacker only desisted when she fled to her car and threw it in reverse. First-time candidate Shane Mekeland suffered a concussion after getting sucker punched while speaking with constituents at a restaurant. Anderson and Mekeland are Republicans.

Meanwhile, my podcasting partner Stacy McCain reports that a Democratic operative was arrested Tuesday after the female campaign manager for Nevada GOP gubernatorial nominee Adam Laxalt accused the operative of grabbing and yanking her arm and refusing to let go.

There appears to be a pattern here.

White Progressivism’s Problem


The Kavanaugh brouhaha has shone a spotlight on the core problem of white progressives. Their politics are too leftwing for most whites but don’t address the concerns of non-whites. The Democrats weren’t able to prevent one of their senators from supporting the Kavanaugh nomination because he had to face mostly white Real World voters this November. Daniel McCathy writes over at Spectator|USA

The Democrats had only one defection in the Kavanaugh vote, as it happens, but it was enough to avoid what would otherwise have been a 49-49 tie: Joe Manchin, up for re-election this year in the reddest state with a Democratic senator. Liberals swore retribution — supporting Kavanaugh might just have cost him the vote of every single New Yorker subscriber in West Virginia.

McCarthy also notes the lack of minority faces among the protestors during the senate vote last Saturday.

The protests liberals whipped up against Kavanaugh this weekend, on the other hand, revealed too much about their own weakness. Washington, D.C. is a majority Democratic city with a black majority. But the Democratic voters out there yelling about Kavanaugh were as white as any country club gathering of Republicans. They looked like a line of Starbucks patrons — Caucasian, professional, largely millennial, with earth tones and earnest expressions aplenty. Men and women wore the same fashionable glasses and more or less the same clothes. It was a Pumpkin Spice Riot.

Where were the black Democrats? Where were the non-yuppies?

The answers to those questions on 7 November this year will go a long way to explaining the next couple of years.

UPDATE—Stephen Green writes that the Democrats are working to “lock down the Trigglypuff vote.” Heh.

Four Weeks to Go


There are some things about which I have a clear vision of the future, but the outcome of the November election isn’t one one of them. I have no idea of which party will wind up controlling either the Senate or the House of Representatives. If had to bet, I’d go with the Republicans hanging on in the Senate, but that’s almost an even money bet.

What I do foreseen is a rather nasty four weeks ahead. The Kavanaugh brouhaha has spun up both parties, and turnout will be critical. Donations are up on both sides.

What will be the Democrats’ end game? Will they triple down on the strategy they tried while opposing the Kavanaugh nomination? That brought out a crowd of protestors one observer described as looking like white millennial Starbucks customers. What effect would that stategy have on more traditional Democrats such as the minority (black and Hispanic) voters who helped defeat the gay marriage ballot initiative in California (Prop 8)?

What about the Republicans? Will they spend too much time celebrating and not enough time doing the hard work of getting their voters to the poles? After the Kavanaugh hearings, they wound up looking like the adults in the room. They’ve historically been tagged as the stupid party, but they look like the sane party for now. Will they find a way to blow that perception with undecided voters between now and the election?

Fasten your seat belts and stay tuned.

Bipartisanship


Overnight, the FBI completed its expanded investigation relating to the Kavanaugh nomination and delivered its report to the White House. The report was forwarded to the Senate Judiciary Committee and is being made available to Senators for review. The White House has stated that the report contains nothing that should stop the nomination. Assuming that the Democrats can’t figure out how to spin some information in the report, we should expect some of them to criticize the FBI for delivering a report that does not support their position. (“Too hasty.” “Arbitrary time constraints.” “Yada, yada, yada”)

Given that the President has been criticizing the FBI for going on two years now, I suppose the pending criticism from the Democrats will be an example of what passes for bipartisanship these days. Mitch McConnell is scheduling the cloture vote on the nomination for Friday. We’re almost done.

Meanwhile, the Democrats’ overreach, especially during last week’s hearing, appears to have backfired. Not only did they wind up energizing the likes of Lindsey Graham, they’ve stirred up the Republican voter base. (My podcasting partner Stacy McCain has more about that here.) A large turnout of Republican voters next month could turn a blue wave red.

Everything is proceeding as I have foreseen.

I’m Not Making This Up, You Know


One of the points made in the defense of Brett Kavanaugh has been the fact that people who engage in the sort of conduct alleged against him are usually serial offenders, and no other women had stepped forward. Indeed, every other woman who knew Kavanaugh and who did step forward spoken in his favor, until the last minute. The New Yorker has now published a claim that Brett Kavauagh exposed himself to a girl while he was a student at Yale. This second story was also being worked by several of the usual suspects in the Main Stream Media, and none of them, including The New Yorker, have been able to been able to find a witness to confirm the story. In fact, the New York Times has reported that none the potential witnesses they have interviewed could corroborate the story. This tale appears to be even flimsier than the Ford accusation, but that has not prevented Senator Feinstein from asking that the Ford/Kavanaugh hearing finally scheduled for Thursday be postponed until this new claim can be investigated by the FBI.

And Michael Avenatti has come out from under his rock, saying he represents a woman with “credible information about Judge Kavanaugh and Mark Judge.”

It’s unfortunate, it’s hysterical, it’s panic stricken, but Democrats are proceeding as I have foreseen.

UPDATE—My podcasting partner Stacy McCain comments here.