I’ve been writing about the Democrats precarious situation caused by their underperformance in the 2020 elections. While they have nominal majorities in both houses of Congress, they don’t have a working majority because of the differing goals of various party factions. However, the inanely progressive wing has dug in their heels, overreaching, demanding more than the saner members of the party know is possible. Senators such as Manchin and Sinema understand they have to win elections in order to stay in office, and aren’t about to support legislation that will alienate their constituents. Nothing is getting done. Their agenda appears DOA. And lots of voters who lean Democrat are losing patience.
So we’re seeing an interesting struggle within the Inner Party, a struggle I suspect will lead the Democrats to disaster. Daniel Roman has a post over at AMAC about the Democrats disarray leading them to that disaster. He closes with these words—
… the real problem with this progressive clique of largely white, privileged, young college grads is not their views on specific policies, but their inability to listen or interact with anyone who is not part of their ideological in-group. That is on full display with the disputes that are currently tearing the Democratic Party apart, the left’s treatment of Sinema and Manchin, and the likely failure of Biden’s domestic agenda.
Legal Insurrection has a post up about one of the ways the Democrats are trying to rewrite history before the ink has dried on the scribblings of their few remaining print outlets.
Fresh off of their efforts to rewrite their history of supporting the Defund the Police movement, Democrats have moved on to trying to revise another aspect of their history: Their opposition to voter ID.
The Legal Insurrection piece quotes House Majority Whip James Clyburn (D-SC) and Senator Raphael Warnock (D-GA) as saying, “We are always for voter ID,” and “I have never been opposed to voter ID.” Of course, it doesn’t take much google-fu to find videos of them and other Democrats opposing voter ID requirements with claims that it’s the most destructive assault on voting rights since Jim Crow.
At the rate they’re flip-flopping, it’ll soon going to be hard to remember whether we’ve always been at war with EastAsia or not.
Democrat politicians and pundits have been all-in on the position that requiring photo ID for voting is racist. The support their position is overwhelming in certain zip codes, but the vast majority of voters support photo ID for voting—even most black and other minority Democrats support voter ID (roughly 3:1).
It appears that some Democrat pols are beginning to understand that opposition to voter ID isn’t playing well with independent voter or their own base outside of Twitter. Stacy Abrams, for example, wants us to believe that she’s never been against voter ID.
OTOH, the big money comes from those few zip codes, so it’s important to please those donors, but the votes … ah, there’s the rub. While the 2020 election may have been a pilot run for the use of technology to manage electoral outcomes, it clear that the Democrats’ system still has some bugs, and appeal to actual voters may still be necessary for some time to come.
… but I believe the Battle of the Bulge is an apt historical analogy to some things happening now.
There’s a post over at the Federalist with polling data about the lack of support for teaching critical race theory in the Loudon and Fairfax County schools. The parents’ opposition to CRT in those counties is not unique; indeed, most parents in most jurisdictions oppose inflicting CRT on their children. So why are so many school districts in such a rush to add it to their curricula?
I believe that they’re doing it for the same reason that the Democrats in the House and Senate are trying to jam as much of their wish through as quickly as possible, even if they have to get rid of rules that that they normally value when they can use them to protect their own interests. Their present tactical situation is analogous to that faced by Field Marshal von Rundstedt in January, 1945.
The Democrats’ breakthrough in the 2020 presidential election achieved a level of surprise not unlike von Rundstedt’s breakthrough in the Ardennes. However, the Democrats’ failure to secure adequate victories in state and local elections and their razor thin margins in Congress have left them overextended and unsupported much like Army Group B found itself as the battle progressed.
Von Rundstedt’s attack disrupted the Allied advance, but he didn’t make it all the way to Antwerp. The Democrats’ winning the presidency is disrupting the economic and regulatory advances of the previous four years, but they are unlikely to make to 2023 in control of either house of the Congress.
Blue states are losing House seats. The Democrats aren’t going to control reapportionment. Many Leftists can see that the 2022 election will likely flip both the House and the Senate back to Republican control. The next two years may be the Left’s last chance to enact items from their wish lists, and they seem ready to offend enough voters to guarantee their defeat in 2022 to pass those laws and regulations.
Half-baked planning led to half-baked results at the polls. Inadequate legislative control led to desperation. Desperation is leading to overreach.
The next couple of years are likely to be very ugly.
UPDATE—A minor edit to spread the blame. (H/T, @SumEgroMonstro)
During last year’s elections, the Democrats managed to get their guy into the White House, just barely flipped control of the Senate, and maintained a slim margin of control of the House. OTOH, they did not do well in state races, and they will not be in control of the reapportionment of House districts coming before the next election. Moreover, many states are reforming their election laws to improve election integrity. 2022 could be a challenging election year for the Democrats.
Looking at the Democrats’ legislative agenda, it appears that they are trying to ram as much of their wish list through as quickly as possible, regardless of the political cost. For example, their pending “infrastructure” bill spends a couple of trillion dollars with less than half going to actual infrastructure projects. The bulk of the bill simply directs government spending into the pockets of favored businesses and not-for-profits.
They’re proposing the biggest tax increase in almost 30 years to pay for their schemes. Now, Joe Xiden was in the Senate in the 1990s, and if his mental faculties were intact, he should remember that tax increases and gun control were what caused the Democrats to lose control of the House in the 1994 midterm elections. Chuck Schumer and Nancy Pelosi managed to keep their House seats in ’94, but they should remember that loss and what caused it. So why are they pushing legislation that’s likely to ensure a similar loss in 2022?
It could be that they don’t remember or that they discount the possibility of an electoral backlash because they believe America has changed. They thought that was the case when they rammed Obamacare through on a party line vote, and they lost the House in the next election, but they may think that this time will be different.
Perhaps, but I believe that Xiden (78), Pelosi (81), and Schumer (70) see this Congress as their last chance. They see handwriting on the electoral wall for 2022, and they want to get as much of their agenda passed while they still can.
Whether because of arrogance or desperation, we should expect the Democrats to act recklessly.
… that someone the average age (53) of a member of the Republican House leadership is young enough to be my son or daughter. OTOH, the average age (70) of a member of the Democrat House leadership is the same as my younger brother.
But all of this highlights the real crisis in journalism, the reason public faith and trust in media institutions is in free fall. With liberal media outlets deliberately embracing a profit model of speaking overwhelmingly to partisan Democrats who use them as their primary source of news, there is zero cost to publishing false claims about people and groups hated by that liberal audience.
That audience does not care if these media outlets publish false stories as long as it is done for the Greater Good of harming their political enemies, and this ethos has contaminated newsrooms as well. Given human fallibility, reporting errors are normal and inevitable, but when they are all geared toward advancing one political agenda or faction and undermining the other, they cease to be errors and become a deliberate strategy or, at best, systemic recklessness.
But whatever else is true, it is vital to understand what news outlets mean when they claim they have “independently verified” the uncorroborated reports of other similar outlets. It means nothing of consequence. In many if not most cases — enough to make this formulation totally unreliable — it signifies nothing more than their willingness to serve as stenographers for the same anonymous political operatives who fed their competitors similar propaganda.
Yes, the folks play-acting as journalists will keep working as propagandists for The Party until it becomes too costly for them.
Нет известия в «Правдa» и нет правда в «Известия». There is no news [izvestia] in Pravda and no truth [pravda] in Izvestia.
We’re already beginning to see some cracks in the foundation supporting of the current media structure, and two forces are acting to further destabilize the system. First, Orange Man Bad is gone from the news cycle, and the story lines built on railing against Trump no longer have traction. Viewers aren’t tuning in as the did, and the revenue that underpins many of the media operations is shrinking. Layoffs are occurring.
Second, after years in attack mode, they’ve been unable to find good news to report to sell the new Narrative. For example, years of ranting about kids in cages has made it hard to put a positive spin on a sudden surge in minor children being detained at the border. Masks still required after vaccination, no Fourth of July, and renewed bombing in the Middle East are not an easy sell as good news. Reality keeps interfering with The Narrative, and the public is beginning to suspect that the warm fluid on our legs isn’t rain.
Alternatives to the Main Stream Media and Main Stream Social Media are popping up and some are getting traction because the compete with The Narrative rather than colluding with it. There’s a market for news and truth, and I suspect that many of the legacy media companies will be replaced by new organizations.
You can see signs of panic in the calls for censorship that are beginning appear, some from media outlets beginning to sense they are at a disadvantage competing with truthful reporting. Given the level of control The Party has over the House, Senate, White House, and corporate media/social media, the next few years probably will be stressful for the First Amendment.
New York’s Senators Schumer and Gillibrand have announced that it’s time for Andrew Cuomo to resign. The reason they give is that a handful of the women who the governor may have sexually harassed have come forward with public complaints about his conduct. The Gentle Reader may wonder why the still intact lives a few people are of greater moral weight than thousands of the dead, but that’s not the question the senators are addressing.
Now that the Democrats have control of the White House and Congress, those with the top jobs are working to secure their positions and power bases—and to weaken and neutralize potential competitors. New York Democrats generally supported Cuomo’s handling of the Wuhan Virus Pandemic last year. They are vulnerable to being tagged as accessories or enablers to the granny killing. OTOH, if they can get Cuomo taken out for his personal behavior at times and places where they weren’t present, it may be possible for them to dodge any accountability for their Covid Collusion.
So Cuomo must go, and #MeToo serves the Inner Party’s interest.
Now that The Party is back in control of the White House and both houses of Congress, the members of the Inner Party who got the plum positions are working to secure their power. (“The object of power is power.“) Of course, this requires that certain individuals who were useful in removing Orange Man Bad from office need to be neutralized or eliminated lest they become competitors rather than allies.
Cuomo must go. #MeTooing him has the advantage of putting Outer Party members at the head of the mob, and allows him to be taken out without having to actually be held to account for the nursing home deaths that have not played well with the Proles.
Newsom must go. He has been too incautious in flaunting his Inner Party privileges.
Whitmer must go. She made a fool of herself while auditioning for the VP nomination last year. While there is beginning to be some legal pushback on her record of nursing home deaths, if’s likely that another scandal will be found for her as well.
There are others on the list. It will be interesting to see who gets taken down as the junta attempts to secure its hold on power.
The House has passed a legislative nightmare called the “Equality Act.” If it passes the Senate and becomes law, it would amend federal statutes to prohibit discrimination on the basis of sexual orientation and gender identity, and it explicitly will destroy religious freedom protections related to sexual and gender identity. The bill explicitly states: “The Religious Freedom Restoration Act of 1993 (42 U.S.C. 2000bb et seq.) shall not provide a claim concerning, or a defense to a claim under, a covered title, or provide a basis for challenging the application or enforcement of a covered title.”
Stephen Kruiser has suggested that the Equality Act is proof that the Democrats are clinically insane. OTOH, The Party may need the words “equal” and “equality” to have different meanings. Sometimes two plus two equals four. But not always.
Sometimes they are five. Sometimes they are three. Sometimes they are all of them at once. You must try harder. It is not easy to become sane.
The election of 1856 put James Buchanan in the White House. He is generally viewed as one of the worst presidents in the nation’s history. Buchanan won the election by carrying every slave state except Maryland while the rest of the country split their votes between Republican John Fremont and Know-Nothing Millard Fillmore. Buchanan understood who elected him.
Buchanan intervened in the Supreme Court to gather majority support of the pro-slavery decision in the Dred Scott case. He supported the Southern attempt to bring Kansas into the Union as a slave state, angering both the Republicans and also many Northern Democrats. Finally, he failed to take action to stop Southern states from seceding during the last months of his administration.
That’s the sort of thing that happens when the Democrats win an election and come to believe that their grasp on the reins of power is so absolute they can act with impunity.
History doesn’t repeat itself in the sense of actual do-overs. Indeed, it does a very poor job of rhyming. But certain themes do reoccur, and one of them in impatient overreach by wannabe elitists.
Last year, the Democrats wasted the Senate’s time with the Ukraine Phone Call Hoax after the previous multi-year Russia Collusion Hoax fell apart. This year, they’re peddling the Insurrection Incitement Hoax. Trump Derangement Syndrome has clearly overwhelmed what was left of the Democrats’ ability to reason rationally. As Lawrence Pearson notes over at BattleSwarm Blog—
For a party that failed to flip a single statehouse chamber in November, Democrats are freebasing dangerous levels of their own bullshit in ratcheting up the rhetorical hysteria.
You don’t get high on your own supply because the moment you start deluding yourself, reality has a nasty way of smacking you upside the head.
Let them have their Impeachment 2: Electric Boogaloo. It won’t result in a conviction. It won’t affect Donald Trump’s standing with his supporters or his detractors. But it will delay the Senate from action on Joe Xiden’s initial legislative goals and confirmation of His Fraudulency’s nominees.
When a political party achieves firm control of the levers of power, it’s not surprising that it will begin to take action that promotes the interests of the party’s supporters. For example, Donald Trump and Cocaine Mitch put a significant number of conservative judges on federal courts, including three Associate Justices at the Supreme Court.
Joe Xiden is doing the same for the his supporters. For example, he’s nominated William J. Burns to head the CIA. Currently, Mr Burns is president of the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, a think tank that has reportedly accepted funds from sources with close ties to the Chinese Communist Party.
There’s nothing out of the ordinary here, just a return to the Old Normal.
Chief Justice Roberts will not be presiding over the new Senate impeachment trial of Donald Trump. The Constitution requires that the Chief Justice preside at the impeachment trial of the President, thus it seems reasonable to assume the trial will not be an impeachment of a president as a matter of law.
BTW, Vice President Harris will not preside. Senator Leahey will preside in his capacity as President Pro Tempore. It’s beginning to look as if enough of the Senate has figured out that what the House has stirred up isn’t a valid impeachment a President, Vice President, or a civil officer of the United States to render the whole matter dead on arrival. The Democrats will probably make fools of themselves trying to revive the case, but the odds are overwhelmingly against a conviction. It all fits with their propensity for overreach.
I suspect that the Democrats will have a brief but spectacular run at messing up the economy or getting us into some nasty foreign entanglement. In a burst of overreach not unlike the passing of Obamacare (“We have to pass the bill in order to find out what’s in it.”), they will quickly find themselves in a-bridge-too-far land. It’s inevitable because they simply cannot follow the wisdom in Oscar Wilde’s bon mot: “One should always play fairly when one has the winning cards.” They cheat even when they don’t have to.
The next couple of years are going to be brutal. The following two won’t be much better.
I have a friend who received his engineering degree from Tuskegee Institute. He’s occasionally told me stories of how his father made use of a shotgun to protect his family. My friend is also a veteran, and he says he’s noticed a significant tactical change in the thugs who support the Democrats—they’ve figured out that black is a better color than white to be wearing at night. But otherwise, he doesn’t see a whole lot of difference in their character.
After ending a prayer with the word awomen [autocorrupt really fights me when I try to type that word], the Democrats imposed a new rule on the House of Representatives that eliminates the use of such “gendered” words as mother, father, brother, sister, aunt, or uncle.
So are they for celebrating the biological differences between the sexes, or are they insisting that we’re all the same and the differences are socially constructed?
Or will they also end prayers with words like atrannie?
Our Betters were surprised in 2016 when all those Deplorables voted the wrong way. They don’t seem to understand that it was their multiple failures to keep up their end of the American social contract that led to the 2016 revolt. While they may have executed a tactically successful counterstrike in 2020, I don’t believe they’ve put the strategic assets in place to properly regain and sustain their control.The analogy to the end of the Europeans’ control of their African and Asian colonies is useful, if inexact. The Europeans were tired after the war, and they were split by significant internal divisions. Their internal struggles made them less able to maintain control of their overseas possessions. I suspect that similar internal struggles on the Left will impede their elites attempts to restore their vision of normalcy. The turf wars between BLM and more mainstream democrats or between the Squad and the old guard in Congress (or the TERF war between the feminists and the LGBTQs) will sap the Left’s ability to enforce their will on increasingly rebellious Deplorables.
2021 is going to be interesting. And very, very ugly.
The Gentle Reader may remember that the Washington (Democracy Dies in Derpness™) Post published a false story saying the Eire, Pennsylvania, postal worker who had offered testimony about backdated postmarks on mail-in ballots had “recanted.” I found it interesting that when Project Veritas published the raw audio tapes of the interrogation of the postal worker, we found out the investigator conducting the interrogation was named Strasser. Neither Captain Renault nor any of the usual suspects were available for comment.
Following along a mid-20th-century line of thought, Don Surber has a post up suggesting that we Don’t blow off AOC. He writes,
Let’s not blow off Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. You may not see her appeal, but millions of Democrats do. She is the soul of the soulless Democrat Party.
AOC’s danger is that unlike Obama, Manchin, and the rest of the 50 and older crowd in the Democrat Party, she does not seek power. She seeks a revolution.
I think I understand her appeal to the younger cohort of socialists. It’s this: When we had Obama as President, we were fundamentally changing America. But then the old men and women in our party let Orange Man Bad win. We were stabbed in the back.
You may not want to buy what she’s selling, but there’s historical precedent for that sales pitch working, particularly when tied to appeals to racial superiority. That’s where the other members of the Squad come in. Surber’s post notes that Politico has quoted Rashida Tlaib as saying,
“We are not interested in unity that asks people to sacrifice their freedom and their rights any longer. And if we truly want to unify our country, we have to really respect every single voice. We say that so willingly when we talk about Trump supporters, but we don’t say that willingly for my black and brown neighbors and from LGBTQ neighbors or marginalized people.”
Take her seriously.
She is playing with racist fire. Her message is clear. Black and brown people are superior to white people.
This is not the Democrat Party’s worst nightmare. Democrats believe this rhetoric and the ideas it stands for will propel them to power.
No, this is America’s worst nightmare.
I’ll be 73 on New Year’s Eve. Over my life, I’ve watched most of America move away from the ugliness of racial superiority. Most but not all. It seems that a portion of the Democrats have held on to it, merely flipping on which side they imagine to be superior.
We really don’t want a redo of the 1920’s and ’30s.
It will be a few days or weeks before we know whether Joe Biden’s “most extensive and inclusive voter fraud” has flipped enough states to hand him the Presidential election. While the Democrat’s operation has been extensive and inclusive, it hasn’t been stealthy. It’s been an in-your-face exercise of raw power by overtly corrupt election officials and their enablers. Too many people have seen how the sausage is being made, enough that I expect that effective steps will be taken to improve election security and integrity before the 2024 election cycle.
The Democrats may win the presidential battle, but they probably have lost the overall campaign. As a result of the unexpectedly good performance by Republicans up and down the ballots, the Republicans will have even more control of the state legislatures that will be redrawing Congressional districts. That won’t be good for House Democrats in 2022. The Republicans will still control the Senate, providing a firewall against most of the Democrat’s legislative wish list—especially court packing. And the federal judiciary now has a significantly higher proportion of judges who are committed to following the Constitution.
If Biden “wins,” I suspect Harris will be a failed one-term President.
The TKPOTD from six years ago today dealt with one of Brett Kimberlin’s vain attempts at having a noticeable impact on the public consciousness without the use of high explosives.
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Gentle Reader, do you ever wonder what the Dread Pro-Se Kimberlin does when he isn’t involved in vexatious lawsuit? He’s the Director of a not-for-profit called Justice Through Music Project. One of the sca … uh … activities run by JTMP is a web site called Protect Our Elections dot org. The site claims to be a “national collaboration of grassroots organizations that have joined together to reclaim our democracy, providing oversight to rescue our elections from partisan politics and privatization.” It has a DONATE button that appears to go straight to JTMP’s authorize dot net account.
Now, that’s a chilling thought: Brett Kimberlin providing “oversight to rescue our elections.”
Here’s what the top of the site’s home page looked like around 8 pm yesterday evening.And here are a couple of front page links to featured stories.The stories relate to a nuisance suit that Protect Our Elections has filed against the Federal Elections Commission. Take a close look at what I’ve circled in red. Those are the comment counts on the stories. As of 8 pm yesterday, there had been absolutely none. Zip. Zilch. Nada. Bupkis.
That shows you the relative impact of The Dread Pro-Se Kimberlin’s Internet operation vis-à-vis those of us who he is suing because we write truthful things about him. Indeed, the most recent comment on the POE site was made at 8:59 pm on 11 August. By way of comparison, Monday noon’s Are You Pondering What I’m Pondering? post generated six comments.
The Team Kimberlin theory of lawfare involves punishment of the victims by causing them to have to deal with the time and expense of a protracted legal ordeal run at relatively low cost to the pro se plaintiff. It’s backfired. TDPK is up against pro se defendants, one of whom is a lawyer, who are able to mount low-cost defenses; First Amendment activists with pro bono legal counsel; and media personalities and organizations whose best interests are served by fighting the suit.
The Streisand Effect will be cranked up to 11 until all TDPK’s vexatious lawsuits are completely dealt with. Brett Kimberlin won’t disappear from public scrutiny until he’s either given up or been beaten. Given his poor choices to date, I suspect we’ll have to whip him in court.
Oh, one more thing … evil hates the truth, but it hates mockery even more.
UPDATE—I just reread POE’s description of itself. The stated goal is to rescue our elections from partisan politics.
I thought the whole purpose of an election was partisan politics, as in, choosing between two or more candidates representing differing views. Whigs v. Tories. Democrats v. Republicans. That sort of thing.
Of course, JTMP’s politics are avowedly progressive. Perhaps the statement is simply an honest description of a desire for one-party rule.
* * * * *
Through the years, Kimberlin has given up any pretense of non-partisanship, openly working with Democrat and Ukrainian interests since the 2016 election cycle. His attempt at affecting this year’s election seems to have fizzled. Both his It’s Time 2020 and EMPR websites have gone silent, and the Justice Through Music Project site isn’t accessible.
For decades, the Left conducted what has been called its march through the institutions to place itself in control. They wish to stay in control, but in 2016 the Deplorables cheated by using the Electoral College to install Donald Trump as President. Trump, in turn, has worked to disrupt the Left’s control. The situation is intolerable. Therefore, the Left has pulled out all the stops and is using every means necessary to defeat Trump in 2020. At times, their naked use of their power to conceal one form of corruption has revealed another, but the Left doesn’t seem to care. Winning really has become the only thing for them.
Victor Davis Hanson has a post over at National Review about the Left’s efforts to retain control.
The progressive project is now hubristic, drunk with power and the belief that it can control an America that does not like it and that in turn it holds in contempt.
But with hubris comes nemesis, as we saw on all fronts last week. Joe Biden, the DNC, the media, Silicon Valley, the identity-politics industry, and the FBI were all shown to be not so much partisan and corrupt as, far more important, inept and ridiculous.
The corrupt can tolerate charges that they are dishonest, because such an accusation implies (they assume) a tacit compliment that they are also cunning and adroit in obtaining such power in the first place to use for such unethical purposes.
One of Alinsky’s Rules for Radicals is to hold the opponents to their own rules. Another is that ridicule is the most potent weapon. That’s why the Hunter’s Laptop and the Toobin Zoom stories are so important. As VDH notes,
But when they become so brazen that they are exposed as silly and absurd, they begin to fear. The Left doesn’t mind being portrayed as Machiavellian or even perhaps a little Rasputin-like. But they can’t tolerate being revealed as the buffoons they so often are.
If we want to win this November, we Deplorables would be well advised to follow an order given by a 19th-century Democrat, and “Keep up the skeer!” We need to keep confronting the Left with the incompetence of their corruption so that all voters understand the real nature of the choice before them.