I’m Buying More Popcorn Futures


Chelsea Manning has announced his (He still has a Y-chromosome; the science is settled.) candidacy for the 2018 Democrat nomination for the U.S. Senator from Maryland. This has put the Democrats in a lovely bind as Glenn Greenwald describes over at The Intercept.

Why have so many establishment Democrats so quickly decided to back a white, straight male politician steeped in privilege, while devoting themselves to opposing a candidate who would make history by becoming the first trans woman ever elected to the U.S. Senate, in the process inspiring trans youth around the world and helping to erode the stigma that has made them so vulnerable to discrimination and violence?

They’ve decided to do this presumably because they find Cardin’s centrist ideology and politics more appealing than Manning’s more radical politics, and believe that this trumps what could be the historic value of Manning’s candidacy. They’ve apparently decided to prioritize their own centrist ideology over the important gender, sexual orientation and trans equality progress that Manning’s victory would ensure.

One can certainly make an argument that the license they’ve granted themselves here – to prioritize ideology and politics over identity – is a reasonable one. But one wonders whether they intend to maintain a monopoly on this license or extend it to others.

As ye sow, so shall ye reap.

Ben Cardin, the incumbent Democrat, is often referred to as the stealth Senator because no one can tell he’s there. Certainly, he hasn’t had the impact on or connection with his constituents that Barbara Mikulski had. It’s always seemed to me that Cardin has won by default through not being a Republican in a heavily Democrat state. Manning may have picked a vulnerable incumbent.

Good Manners v. Effective Communication


I’ve been gathering my thoughts to write about President Trump’s use of the word shitholes and the resulting media pearl clutching, but Andrew Klavan has beaten me to the punch with a better essay than I was planning.

(Personally, my first thought on hearing about the remark was: “What squirrely little tattle-tale of a weasel went running to the press with that?” But never mind. That’s just me.)

Also,

For all the bad language, for all the loose talk, I would rather hear a man speak as a man without fear of the Nurse Ratcheds in the press and the academy than have him neutered and gagged by a system of good manners that has been misused as a form of oppression. Better impoliteness than silence. Better crudeness than lies.

Read the whole thing.

I’m So Old …


… I remember when climate “scientists” were warning about a coming ice age. Over at Manhattan Contriarian Francis Menton has a post dealing with how hard it is to make climate predictions, especially about the future. (I’ll let him explain the reference).

You and I are not going to be around in 2100 to see if any of these predictions about the future have come true.  But meanwhile the climate alarm crowd obliges us with shorter term predictions to help us get some handle on how reliable they are.

Menton takes a look at some recent predictions. Read the whole thing.