2 thoughts on “Carter’s Second Term May Be the Best-Case Scenario


  1. If nothing else, this shows the fragility of “just-in-time” logistics that assume no extraordinary event will ever take place. We see this in electronic components, lumber and now fuel. We saw this last year in paper products and canned foods. Even a small burp in the system can cause enormous problems in a few days.

    It’s easy to destroy and much, much more difficult to restore and rebuild.


    • Pretty much agree with you and I’ve thought about JIT fragility a lot.

      The alternative is warehouses full of stuff(s). That’s incurs carrying costs. Said costs hurt ‘the bottom line’ financials of any business; public or private. So there’s a tradeoff. Or, at minimum, additional costs because you have to pay for overcapacity.

      For example, marginal (additional) cost is why hospitals are geared for 80%+ utilization ‘in normal times.’ And thus can’t handle ‘extraordinary’ events. Ah, heck- There’s not enough hospital capacity to handle anything more than minor increases over business-as-usual.

      The Government DOES have a few strategic reserves here and there. They’re not comprehensive. And can’t be. Because of cost. Also because events/technologies/culture/requirements change over time. Imagine gov’t warehouses full of AM radios, CRT-type TVs and bakelite-handset telephones.

      Food, gas and insulin? All perishable. The Prepper Community HAS put a lot of thought in to all this. But outside of individual storage which may allow you to hold out personally for a few extra weeks or months… They too ultimately have to rely on civilization recovering fairly quickly.

      I don’t have a answer.

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